I don’t know the legal stuff about the Oscars, so I have no idea. Seeing the ridiculously small release in the US though, and the movie being straight to VOD, I don’t think it’s the kind of movie that would be noticed by the Academy. Like, ok they might love it, but straight to VOD movies are considered as cheap and not very good so… but who knows, maybe there will be a big surprise? Sadly I’m afraid all these huge ceremonies are intellectual masturbation and all about having the right friends in the industry. The results are always predictable based on what the Academy likes, what was popular, what made a buzz this year, what they’re gonna find exciting enough (a cis man playing a transgender female prostitute with AIDS, so unusual, so edgy, woaw!).
Now, the next paragraph is just my opinion and mine only, but I wouldn’t like Snowpiercer to get an Oscar. To me it deserves ALL the Oscars of course, I would like to reward everyone, and finally give Chris Evans the recognition he deserves, tell him he’s not just some eye candy but mostly an amazing actor, and give an Oscar for every aspect of the movie, music, special effects, direction, everything. But I wouldn’t want it to get Oscars.
Bong Joon-Ho has been rewarded several times in his career, I remember Memories of Murder got all the awards in some police film festivals, and he’s been nominated and awarded in plenty of small festivals. The Host, Mother were big successes. But I don’t want him to bond with Hollywood. What Hollywood does to Asian, and specifically East-Asian cinema sucks, they remake movies instead of appreciating the original ones, they don’t give them enough space and exposure —and that’s precisely why the Oscar won’t happen btw. And if Bong was given the opportunities to work in the US instead of developing his movies with the same old team of Korean producers, sure he would have more money but Weinstein proved he would have less freedom. Basically, I wouldn’t want Bong to be rotten by Hollywood. I’d prefer if he got a slightly posh award at the Cannes festival for example (Sélection Officielle, or Un Certain Regard), as many East-Asian movies had, that’d be a better kind of exposure for him, not too overwhelming.
And finally, once again just my opinion, I would have a hard time seeing Snowpiercer getting an Oscar. A bunch of front sectioners partying together, in their fancy dresses that cost more than what my dad earns in a year, drinking champagne, congratulating the team for their “awesome take on the injustice our world, daaarling!” while not lifting a finger for the people dying in Skid Row a few bloks away? The mere thought makes me cringe, sorry.